October 13 at 23:00
World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2022
Bolivia – Argentina
Bet: Both To Score – No
Coef .: 1.848
On October 13, the match of the 2nd round of the qualifying campaign of the World Cup Bolivia – Argentina will take place. Naturally, the bookmakers are the favorite of the guest team. Let’s try to understand the pre-match layouts.
For Bolivia, the last official tournament was the America’s Cup, where the team did not leave the group, settling in last place: three defeats with a total score of 2-9.
The following should be said about this team. Bolivia is a strong home team. This is one of the highest mountainous countries in the world. There is a specific climate, a special proportion of oxygen in the air. Bolivia’s rivals face colossal adjustment problems. This is the main chance for the Bolivians.
That is why Bolivia gnaws the lion’s share of successful results at home stadiums, which are located several kilometers above sea level. In their native land, Bolivia is beaten by all and sundry. And the recent match of the 1st round of qualification against Brazil is a vivid proof of this (the Bolivians lost with a score of 0: 5). And, for example, the 2017 game Bolivia – Brazil ended in a 0: 0 draw. In the same year, the Bolivians slammed Argentina (2: 0) and Chile (1: 0) at home.
As in the case of Bolivia, the last official tournament in which Argentina participated was the America’s Cup (final third).
In the first round of the World Cup qualifying campaign, the Argentines won a modest home victory over Ecuador (1-0), delivering only two shots on target.
I would point out that in four of the last five official matches of Argentina there was a bet “both will score – no”.
Naturally, the bookmakers are the favorite of the guest team. The probability of her winning is estimated at 1.7, while the win for the home team is quoted at 4.77. You can get a draw for 4.09.
Forecast and rate
It’s curious how the quotes change depending on where Bolivia is playing. For example, in the away game against Brazil, the bookmakers offered a crazy odds of 54.0 to win this team. The winnings for the Bolivians at home are estimated at 4.77. In both cases, Bolivia is opposed by the top rival, but everything is decided by the factor of the home field.
Having studied the bookmaker quotes, I came to the conclusion that a good bet on this game can be “both score – no”. Bookmaker “1xbet” estimates the probability of this event at a coefficient of 1.85.