Women and their defense of the right to abortion were a wall to prevent a landslide victory for the Republicans

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Congressional control is not defined. Republicans have a lead in the House of Representatives and Democrats could still keep the Senate. The avalanche of conservative votes that former President Trump had announced did not occur. What were the keys

Women and their defense of the right to abortion were a wall to prevent a sweeping-victory-of-the-republicans


Gustavo Sierra

Women and their defense of the right to abortion were a wall to prevent a landslide victory for the Republicans

A group of women celebrate the results of the elections in Michigan (REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein)

In 2020, due to the slow counting of votes in many states, it took days – until Saturday November 7 – for the major news networks to declare Joe Biden as president-elect. Now, almost a day after the closing of the first voting districts, the results of the most important midterm elections in 50 years in the United States, were still without a concrete result. Control of the Senate and the House of Representatives has not yet been defined. Democrats and Republicans continue to anxiously await the results of the Senate for Nevada and Arizona, which could decide the balance of power in Washington in the next two years. While the crucial race for the Georgia Senate seat seems likely to go to a second round. In the House of Representatives, ABC News He already predicts that the Republicans will obtain 207 seats before tonight, only 11 from control of the chamber.

The only thing certain is that the “red wave” did not occur that former President Donald Trump had foreseen as a tsunami that would hit the Democratic government of Joe Biden. Instead, the one that now appears beaten is his presidential candidacy for 2024 with an internal rival, the “trumpist” governor of Florida Ron de Santis , who comes out of this electoral night very strengthened. < /p>

The signal that the red tide was on the way out was given by the triumph of the lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, John Fetterman, over the famous doctor Mehmet Oz, and moved a Senate seat from Republican to Democrat. There had been all the expectations Trump campaigning for Oz. He was convinced that with the Philadelphia doctor he was going to nationalize these elections in his favor. Fetterman, who suffered a stroke midway through the campaign and had difficulty defending himself during last week's debate with his rival, won narrowly, giving the breathing space Democrats needed when he had already entered the morning in the vast majority of the eastern districts of the country.

Women and their defense of abortion rights were a wall to prevent a landslide victory of the Republicans

The Republican Governor of Florida , Ron DeSantis, with his family, at his re-election celebration party held in Tampa. In this way he is heading to dispute the presidential candidacy of trump. REUTERS/Marco Bello

Traditionally, legislative elections measure attritionof the current president in the White House after two years in office. They are a kind of referendum on management, but this time they also extended to the main opposition figure, Trump, and the consequences of his attempted rebellion to ignore the results of the 2019 presidential election. And although he maintains a very high volume An important loyalist, last night he won a tough rival within his own party. To have a dimension of what he got Joe Biden By stopping what seemed like it was going to be a Republican tsunami, it should be compared to its Democratic predecessors: in 1994, Bill Clinton lost 54 congressmen; in 2010, Barack Obama, 63. Republicans lost 40 seats in 2018, when Trump had been in the White House for two years.

From the polls that were made to voters broadcast this morning by CNN, BBC and FOXNews, it can be inferred that Americans, for the most part, are more concerned about the social rights they are losing, particularly abortion, than about rising inflation. 54% of those interviewed by pollsters for the CNN Exit Poll believe that the Republican Party is taking too extreme positions hand in hand with former President Trump and the 60 % are angry or “dissatisfied” with the Supreme Court's repeal last June of the famous case of Roe v. Wade, which allowed the legal termination of pregnancy. It is at this point that the women who went out to vote led in a much larger number than they usually do in the mid-term elections. The issue of abortion crossed, precisely, the closest races for the Senate in Pennsylvania and Georgia.

There seems to be the key to this wall that contained the “red wave” , in the number of voters that was at least 20% more than in the mid-term elections of 2010 and 2014, “reaching almost presidential levels”. A preliminary report from the Catalist pollsterIt suggests that what happened this year is very similar to what happened in 2018, when all participation records were broken, mostly in repudiation of the Trump Administration, which allowed the Democrats to regain control of the House of Representatives.

< p>Women and their defense of the right to abortion were a wall to prevent a landslide victory of the Republicans

In the traditional parade of Halloween of the traditional Village of Manhattan they appeared "disguised" of inflation. According to the first polls among voters, in these elections civil rights prevailed over the economy. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

It also shows that campaign adviser James Carville's dictum from 1992, “it's the economy, stupid”,this time it was not fulfilled. Inflation reached a high level for the United States, 10% per year, but the voters did not go to punish the government for that. They gave credit to Joe Biden for the next two years, although his popularity is below 40%. They voted more with their hearts and less with their pockets. “I think pundits sometimes project onto the public a crude materialism, where all people care about is pocket money in the strictest sense,” Maryland Democratic Rep. Jamie Raskin said early this morning. in an interview with CNN. “People understand how precarious and precious constitutional democracy is, and they don't want to lose it.”

If we delve into the deeper state issues, other social dividing points. Voters in Maryland and Missouri approved the legalization of marijuanarecreational, adding to the dozens of states that had already done so. But similar initiatives were rejected in Arkansas and North Dakota. In several states, restrictions aimed at reinforcing the security of the elections that mask maneuvers by the Trumpists to make it difficult for minorities to vote are disputed vote by vote.and facilitate the ignorance of the results in case they are not favourable. In Ohio, the vote of anyone who is not a citizen was prohibited in contrast to what happens in New York, where legal permanent residents and those authorized to work in the United States are allowed to vote. In Iowa, the rights to carry weapons were expanded and you can practically walk around with a gun in your holster like the cowboys in the far west. In Tennessee, Vermont, and Alabama passed changes to the state Constitution that remove outdated and racist language, including that related to slavery.

As of midday Wednesday, only one Democratic incumbent, Rep. Elaine Luria of Virginia, had been defeated in the House race. Although a Republican veteran, Rep. Steve Chabot, also lost in Ohio. And in other critical House races, endangered Democrats like Representatives Abigail Spanberger of Virginia and Chris Pappas of New Hampshire retained their seats. Seth Magazinerhe won Rhode Island, a densely populated state, to keep an open seat in the Democratic column and cool off early-morning Republican boasts. Governor elections in New York and Pennsylvania, House elections in Rhode Island, and Senate elections in Colorado and Washington all went Democratic.

Women and their defense of the right to abortion were a wall to prevent a landslide victory of the republicans

The first member of the Generation Z (1996-2000) to be elected to Congress, 25-year-old Democrat Maxwell Alejandro Frost, who will be the youngest member of the House. (Reuters)

Some candidates not only won on Tuesday, but broke down important social barriers. Among those victories are the first elected women governors in Arkansas, Massachusetts and New York; the first black person to be elected Governor of Maryland; and the first member of Generation Z (1996-2000) to be elected to Congress, 25-year-old Democrat Maxwell Alejandro Frost, who will be the youngest member of the House. The first openly lesbian female governor is Democrat Maura Healey of Massachusetts. The first Cherokee senator in nearly 100 years is Markwayne Mullin, a Republican from Oklahoma. And Wes Moore is the first African-American governor in Maryland and the third in the country.

In a way, these elections had already made history because of the diversity of the candidates presented. Lesbians, gays, bisexuals, transsexuals, and homosexuals stood for election in all 50 states for the first time. The number of sexual minority candidates on the ballot increased by 18% over 2020.

And, perhaps, an emblem of this retaining wall that the Democrats managed to build in the face of the Trumpist anti-democratic onslaught is the victory of the veteran Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, who was re-elected in California. He beat Republican John Dennis by a margin of more than 80%.

The Democratic leader, who represents one of the most progressive districts in the US, beat Republican candidate John Dennis of overwhelmingly with more than 80% of the vote, according to estimates by The New York Times. On October 28, an unbalanced man had entered her home in San Francisco with a hammer in his hand asking for her, as happened in the assault on the Capitol on January 6, 2020, and attacked her husband, Paul, causing a fracture. skull and other injuries. The unknown is whether Pelosi, 82, will continue to occupy the Democratic leadership in the lower house of Congress or if she passes the torch. Surely, she will make the decision once she is clear if she is going to continue leading a majority caucus.