On October 3, within the framework of the 20th round of the Japanese J-1 League, a meeting between Oita and Shimizu will take place. Not so long ago, both teams went toe to toe in the standings, but the hosts managed to make a very serious leap, which allowed them to seriously rise up. Will there be another success? Read about it in our forecast.
Oita has become a real discovery based on the results of the last five rounds. The club won four victories, gaining 12 points out of 15 possible. By the way, during 15 previous meetings, about the same number was recruited – 13. It was unexpected to observe such a dramatic transformation of an outsider.
Moreover, it is worth noting that the victories were both over rivals of their level, such as Vegalta Sendai (3: 0) and Yokohama (1: 0), and over the tops represented by Tokyo (3: 2) and “Kasima” (2: 0). But the characteristic features of the second echelon club have still not disappeared, for the team, beating the top 6 teams, lost to Hiroshima (0: 2). Will it be possible to prevent a repetition of such a situation?
Shimizu is stable throughout the season: there are practically no victories (only one in the last twelve games), few points were scored, and the club is in last place in terms of points lost.
However, with such a problematic defense, this is not surprising. In order to score points at least once with an average number of conceded goals of 2.25 goals per match, you need to score at least two times. And Shimizu’s average performance is much lower – 1.3 goals. If we again take into account the same segment of 12 games, then the goal difference in it looks terrifying – “-16”, and the team’s goal was scored as many as 31 times. How many will be missed today?
In the first round, today’s hosts were defeated with a score of 2: 4;
Shimizu is the worst club in the J League in terms of conceded goals (45).
07/26/20 Shimizu Oita 4: 2
11/23/19 Shimizu Oita eleven
05/18/19 Oita Shimizu eleven
“Oita” caught the courage and felt confident in their abilities, and this only helps to achieve success. The guests continue to demonstrate their stability in terms of extremely weak defensive play, only the lazy does not score. And today they again will not be able to defend their gates intact, which will prevent them from winning (although in principle such a turn of events is hard to believe).
Our forecast is that Oita will not lose and the total is over (1.5) goals with odds of 1.70 from BC Leon.