Sat. Mar 2nd, 2024

Analysis | Donald Trump's return to the White House?

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The first test for Donald Trump will take place Monday in Iowa. (Archive photo)

  • Azeb Wolde-Giorghis (View profile)Azeb Wolde-Giorghis

Will the Americans return Donald Trump to the White House? Democrats and some Republicans hoped to have gotten rid of him once and for all after his defeat in 2020. The assault of January 6, 2021 earned him impeachment proceedings. The battle for the soul of America seemed won in advance for Joe Biden, who promised the reconciliation of a torn country.

However, 10 months before the presidential election, Donald Trump is back with a vengeance.

He is increasing the number of rallies throughout the country. If he is not delivering a speech to his supporters, he is in court, which has become another electoral campaign platform for him.

This phenomenon is unprecedented, analysts repeat: an electoral campaign against a backdrop of legal proceedings. Donald Trump once again becomes essential in the American political arena and continues to make headlines.

The first test will take place in Iowa on Monday. Will the votes reflect the polls which give him the winner of the Republican nomination?

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According to the most recent polls, Trump would receive the support of 51% of evangelicals in Iowa, who had nevertheless preferred Ted Cruz in 2016. He became, in a way, their elected representative after the appointment of three conservative judges to the Supreme Court, which made it possible to invalidate the Roe v. Wade on abortion.

Donald Trump is not a big fish in a small pond. It's a whale in a bathtub. He crushes all his rivals.

A quote from Ralph Reed, Republican founder of the Faith and Freedom Coalition

Jamie Raskin, a Democrat from Maryland, led the team of prosecutors in Donald Trump's second impeachment proceedings in 2021. He doesn't even want to entertain the idea that Trump could one day return to office. White House, maintaining that whatever the polls say, the ex-president is constitutionally disqualified.

We must mobilize everything the world, all parties combined, launches this Democrat at the foot of the Capitol the day before the third anniversary of the assault on Congress. According to him, the future of American democracy and respect for its institutions are at stake.

Jamie Raskin points out that democracy is not a series of static institutions but something to be constantly fought for. He adds this: The courts are doing their job, the prosecutors too, the democratic institutions are standing up and I hope that the trial [of federal prosecutor] Jack Smith on the events of January 6, 2021 will take place in March, before the elections.

Justice takes longer than injustice. We saw, on January 6, 2021, that the constitutional order can be destroyed in a single day, even if it took us two centuries to build it. It takes time to repair the damage.

A quote from Jamie Raskin, Democratic Representative of Maryland

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Jamie Raskin is a Democratic representative from Maryland.

Adam Kinzinger was elected to the House of Representatives from Illinois from 2011 to 2023. Now aged 45, he was part of the next generation of Republicans. This representative was one of 10 Republicans to vote in favor of impeaching Donald Trump. Donald Trump should be in jail. If we accept an attempted coup d'état to overthrow a legitimate and elected government, if we authorize this, who is to say that it will not happen again? he says.

We don't have to agree on everything, but we have to agree on the fact that if we vote, it counts, and that the only contract we have is that the person who wins will occupy the function. He threatened this contract by convincing a considerable number of Americans that the election was stolen.

A quote from Adam Kinzinger, former Republican elected official from Illinois

< source srcset="https://images.radio-canada.ca/q_auto,w_700/v1/ici-info/16x9/adam-kinzinger-republicain-politque-americaine.jpg" media="(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 1023px)">Open full screen

Adam Kinzinger was elected to the House of Representatives from Illinois from 2011 to 2023.

For his part, at 81 years old, Joe Biden does not ignite the crowds and some fear that he is not the man for the job.< /p>

The American president's popularity rating is decreasing, according to the American polling site FiveThirtyEight: as of January 12, 56.2% of Americans disapproved of his work.

The enthusiasm of young people and African-Americans may not be the same in 2024 as in the last presidential election, say specialists in American politics. Several triggers, including the death of George Floyd in May 2020, mobilized the population. Groups such as Black Voters Matter had succeeded in convincing voters.

In 2020, due to confinement during the pandemic, Joe Biden had managed to avoid an intense campaign, which will not be the case in 2024. He has also alienated part of his base because of the war between Israel and Hamas.

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Donald Trump and Joe Biden will face each other again in the 2024 presidential election.

The Democrats could, however, focus on the issue of abortion as a central element of their campaign.

We all know who Donald Trump is, but who are we?

A quote from Joe Biden, President of the United States

The 2024 election will reveal not who Donald Trump is but rather who the Americans are.

  • Azeb Wolde-Giorghis (View profile)Azeb Wolde-GiorghisFollow

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