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2024 is likely to be the warmest year on record. It will also be the first year when the air temperature will be more than 1.5 °C higher than the pre-industrial level.
This was reported by the European Copernicus Climate Change Service.
< p>The average global temperature anomaly for the first 10 months of 2024 (January to October) was 0.71 °C above the 1991-2020 average. This is the highest for this period and 0.16 °C warmer than the same period in 2023.
Analysts are confident that 2024 will be the warmest year ever for the entire history of observations. In order for this not to happen, the average temperature anomaly must drop to almost zero by the end of 2024.
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Given that 2023 was 1.48°C warmer than pre-industrial levels according to ERA5, this year is expected to the temperature will be more than 1.5°C higher than the pre-industrial level. And probably even higher than 1.55°C.
The climate is generally warming. It is warming on all continents, in all ocean basins. Therefore, we will definitely see that these records will be broken, – said the director of the EU Copernicus Climate Change Service, Carlo Buontempo.
The average global temperature for the last 12 months (November 2023 – October 2024) was at 0.74 °C higher than the 1991-2020 average. And, as noted, it is 1.62 °C higher than the average indicator of the pre-industrial period of 1850-1900.